Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.544077 4.192794 4.954685 5.922950 7.131243 8.603226 10.553530
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.559496 3.335484 4.363813 5.855897 8.016356 11.113811 16.049710
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.110554 2.922869 4.085974 5.929490 8.889443 13.667788 22.447393
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.804423 2.618106 3.855400 5.959924 9.639387 16.213296 29.934325
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.629528 2.463665 3.802111 6.230538 10.830228 19.899101 41.442108
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.425738 2.223899 3.558471 6.105210 11.248180 22.245771 51.439118
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.283143 2.059615 3.408358 6.107318 11.903626 25.331305 65.269164
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.153368 1.896855 3.231097 6.013465 12.323367 28.041990 80.078795
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.073605 1.810317 3.177770 6.155605 13.313797 32.623262 104.840901
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.975677 1.677367 3.014585 6.028105 13.619778 35.487214 126.271668
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.945511 1.666950 3.090051 6.446304 15.454112 43.869365 181.050921
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.905621 1.632152 3.109490 6.738139 17.055540 52.496978 251.024850
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.860723 1.592591 3.136244 7.121003 19.297893 65.984341 386.390753
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.784266 1.481000 2.993125 7.053307 20.206077 75.485308 530.051353
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.728937 1.405327 2.916829 7.144564 21.711669 89.386374 776.007898
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.677490 1.330738 2.829726 7.182811 23.074143 104.409675 1130.274327
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.647695 1.299692 2.842231 7.522726 25.829104 131.436466 1914.235541
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.597133 1.215013 2.706388 7.365208 26.455593 146.177871 2665.771279
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.559387 1.155450 2.625778 7.367856 27.835214 169.101710 4075.233978
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.520694 1.089155 2.517290 7.250000 28.613772 189.176520 5965.746564
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.497199 1.056583 2.494747 7.428527 31.033210 229.857731 10774.465393
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.463800 0.996112 2.386137 7.268378 31.584277 253.740695 16257.556429
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.455909 0.998052 2.454227 7.794288 36.461940 343.064187 44028.755201